Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050??

Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 60% per 8 september 2026.

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?

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Ja 60.4%

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Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden

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17 dec 23, 14:58 UTC1 mrt 50, 22:59 UTC

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Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2050.

The payload must be lifted from at maximum 50km by the system (the payload can be released by, for example, a balloon), and must reach an altitude of at least 100km.
The mass of the payload must be at least 10g when crossing the 100km threshold (the mass of the payload may decrease during levitation due to ablation).
Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-35fc264bbc88
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-42027c4cebd3

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?

One-OffSpace

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Ja 60.4%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden

Verouderd

17 dec 23, 14:58 UTC1 mrt 50, 22:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Regels

Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2050.

The payload must be lifted from at maximum 50km by the system (the payload can be released by, for example, a balloon), and must reach an altitude of at least 100km.
The mass of the payload must be at least 10g when crossing the 100km threshold (the mass of the payload may decrease during levitation due to ablation).
Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-35fc264bbc88
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-42027c4cebd3

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050??: Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 60% per 8 september 2026.
Wanneer wordt Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? afgewikkeld?: Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2050 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2050.

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?

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