Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a California State entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 31 oktober 2026.

Will a California State entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Nee 92%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 43 minuten geleden

31 jan 23, 06:42 UTC1 jan 28, 07:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Regels

The account cannot be owned by a person who works for the state of California - the government entity itself must own it.

This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.