Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)
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Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67.2%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd9 dec 23, 04:32 UTC1 jan 00, 04:59 UTC
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A qualifying 'trip' in this market is any transit from point(A) to point(B) where the shortest distance between these points is greater than 200km and the transit time is less than 1234.8km/h from takeoff to landing after 1/1/2023.
- EG, a trip where takeoff at JFK was at 00:00 GMT and a landing at LHA no later than 02:55.
- Will resolve YES if -
- (a) SpaceX becomes defunct / goes bankrupt prior to Boom Supersonic going bankrupt or otherwise becoming defunct as an enterprise.
- (b) Boom Supersonic platform vehicles are used in 200 commercially available trips before SpaceX platform vehicles are used in 200 commercially available trips.
- (b)(2) A single trip is defined as a commercial (at least 1 paying customer) transits from a point of origin to a destination point not less than 200km apart.
