Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiekMidden-Oosten2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 54.9%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jul 26, 17:12 UTC20 jan 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketRegels
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
