Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiekMidden-Oosten2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 54.9%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jul 26, 17:12 UTC20 jan 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
PolymarketRegels
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
