Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAdam Hamilton (d) 60%+7.2ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+26.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd29 okt 26, 00:06 UTC1 jan 27, 02:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Polls indicate a possible upset, but if we’ve learned anything in the last two elections… polls are often wrong.
- Kansas hadn’t elected a Democrat senator since 1932.
- If the election is clearly called by at least 2 major news organizations the question will settle.
- If the result is in doubt it will resolve by the end of the year when it does get called or, if needed with a best estimate based on Kalshi odds
