Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 17:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJ. D. Vance 76.7%Koploper van 41 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
126
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd25 mrt 24, 14:30 UTC8 aug 28, 13:30 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?
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KalshiWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRegels
An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries.
- Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over.
- The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.
- Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.).
- If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.
