Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAny Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress 100%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd28 feb 26, 21:06 UTC2 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
100%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson endorse, or suggest voting for any Democrat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson and Graham Platner meet before election day?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
KalshiWill Tucker Carlson announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Tucker Carlson win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for each answer if Tucker Carlson releases an interview with that person or group between March 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- An interview is defined as a conversation published on Tucker Carlson's platforms (Tucker Carlson Network, The Tucker Carlson Show, Tucker on X, or affiliated channels).
- For the purposes of this market, a debate shall count as an interview.
- The interview must be for at least 5 minutes.
- For group categories (e.g., "the named outcome"), the market resolves YES if Carlson interviews any member of that group.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)?
- Manifold Markets prijst Any Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) afgewikkeld?
- Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria