Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingGreens 53.9%-4.2ptKoploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+23.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 46 minuten geleden
Vertraagd25 jan 26, 22:50 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
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KalshiRegels
I won’t bet on this market.
- Election is on 7 Nov 2026.
- I haven’t fully made up my mind on who to vote for yet.
- Ask questions, I’ll try answer.
- I won’t answer questions like, what probability should ‘x’ be, or what option should be most likely.
- Resolves to who I cast my party vote for in the 2026 nz general election
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Greens op 54% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election? afgewikkeld?
- Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I won’t bet on this market.