Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
SpaceX 56.4%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
SpaceX 56.4%Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+23.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd26 okt 26, 08:45 UTC7 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves to the launch provider responsible for the first orbital launch attempt worldwide with a liftoff time in calendar year 2027 (UTC).
- Orbital launch attempt: any launch intended to reach Earth orbit or beyond, including failures.
- Suborbital flights and tests not intended to reach orbit are excluded.
- Launch provider: the company or agency operating the launch vehicle, classified by the country where it is headquartered.
- Launch site, customer and payload don’t matter.
- For example, a Rocket Lab Electron launch from New Zealand counts as “Other American provider”.
