Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBrad Bradford 82.1%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+3.6 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd26 aug 26, 05:17 UTC26 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who officially finishes in second place in the Toronto mayoral election scheduled for October 26, 2026.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by the official certified results declared by the City of Toronto Clerk, which will be published on the City of Toronto Elections page.
- Definition of Second Place: The candidate who receives the second-highest number of valid votes cast, as officially certified by the city clerk.
- Recounts and Challenges: In the event of an official recount or legal challenge, the market will resolve based on the final, certified results.
- Postponement: If the election is postponed beyond December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to N/A.
Open markten
Elections
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.5pt55.5%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.1pt43.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,3 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-0.5pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 237,9K
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will come in second in the Toronto mayoral election?
- Manifold Markets prijst Brad Bradford op 82% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will come in second in the Toronto mayoral election afgewikkeld?
- Who will come in second in the Toronto mayoral election wordt naar verwachting op 26 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will come in second in the Toronto mayoral election afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria