Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Other 34.6%Koploper van 19 uitkomsten
Other 34.6%Voorspellers
47
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd21 feb 24, 22:29 UTC3 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Next US Senate Minority Leader?
PolymarketHouse Minority Leader of the next Congress?
PolymarketChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
KalshiWill Hakeem Jeffries be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsFirst House Minority Leader of the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.
- If the Republicans lost their majority in the House, Johnson would likely become become the Republican Minority Leader, which would then be the position of the #1 Republican under a Democratic Party House.
- This market resolves to the name of the next Republican after Mike Johnson to assume the position of either Speaker of the House or Minority Leader.
- In the case of a leadership crisis like the one resulting from Speaker McCarthy's removal as speaker, the person appointed to Speaker pro tempore (if anyone) does not count.
- Only a permanent Republican Speaker or permanent Republican Minority Leader resolves this market.
- If you have suggestions for other candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
