Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
US PoliticsManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingKetanji Brown Jackson 22.4%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd9 apr 24, 14:44 UTC17 apr 21, 03:59 UTC
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The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.
- I will add options as new justices are sworn in.
- I will resolve a justice's market with a percentage when they leave office, either by stepping down, being removed or by death.
- The n-th person to leave will be resolved with (n-1)%.
- For instance, the first justice to leave will be resolved with NO, and the second one with 1%.
- All justices that step down after the 100th will be resolved with YES.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice??
- Manifold Markets prijst Ketanji Brown Jackson op 22% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? afgewikkeld?
- Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? wordt naar verwachting op 17 april 2121 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.