Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOther 50.8%+0.1ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
42
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-1.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
3 nov 25, 17:50 UTC11 nov 28, 01:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Republican candidate for 2028?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegels
Who will be the Republican Party's official nominee for the 2028 presidential election?
- Context: Vice President the named outcome and President the named outcome are the two leading potential Republican candidates for 2028.
- Vance currently leads in primary polling, but Trump has not ruled out running despite constitutional term limits.
- Resolution: This market resolves to whichever candidate is officially nominated by the Republican Party at the 2028 Republican National Convention or through the formal RNC nomination process.
- If neither Vance nor Trump is nominated, the market resolves to "Other."
- Sources for verification:
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate??
- Manifold Markets prijst Other op 51% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? afgewikkeld?
- Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? wordt naar verwachting op 11 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Who will be the Republican Party's official nominee for the 2028 presidential election?