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SpaceX 6.1%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
SpaceX 6.1%Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd7 jan 24, 21:06 UTC1 jan 31, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
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PolymarketWill SpaceX's first Starship Cargo mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiWill Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
Manifold MarketsRegels
The question will resolve as "YES" for each space agency or private company that successfully lands humans on Mars before the end of 2030.
- If multiple agencies or companies achieve this independently or through a collaboration, each will be resolved as "YES" individually.
- The successful landing is defined by a human crew safely reaching the surface of Mars and conducting at least one extravehicular activity (EVA) or surface operation.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements and confirmations from the respective agencies or credible space exploration authorities.