Which Senate candidates will Barack Obama rally for in the 2026 Midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20269d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAbdul El-Sayed (Michigan) 100%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+26.8 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
5 okt 26, 05:58 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama do a campaign rally for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsWill "Was Barack Obama still serving as president i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if Barack Obama appears in person at a campaign rally/event for the listed senate candidate, virtual appearances don’t count.
- Must be a public or televised event, a closed door fundraiser wouldn’t count.
- Each answer resolves independently
- Both Obama and the candidate are physically present at the campaign event/rally
- Joint events with other candidates count, such as a rally to support a slate of candidates.
- For example, if there is rally for ‘The Ohio Democratic Slate’ as long as Obama and Sherrod Brown are present, it would resolve yes.