Which party will win the national popular vote in the 2028 presidential election?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDemocratic Party 91.8%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+2.8 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd5 nov 26, 23:13 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves to the party of the presidential candidate with the most votes nationwide in the November 7, 2028 election, using certified first-preference vote totals from the 50 states and DC.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.