Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's 5th District?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 202611d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 01:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingRepublican Party — John McGuire 64%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-8.6 pts
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Bijgewerkt 35 minuten geleden
6 okt 26, 06:23 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill John McGuire win the Virginia 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Beth Macy win the Virginia 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegels
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Virginia's 5th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
