Which party or coalition will win the primary vote in the 2026 Victorian state election?
6.7 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing1mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingLiberal-National Coalition 52%-6.7ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-2.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd17 jun 26, 03:18 UTC28 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the highest percentage of the statewide first-preference (primary) vote in the Legislative Assembly (Lower House) at the 2026 Victorian state election, scheduled for 28 November 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the official results published by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) or a consensus of credible media outlets.
- If the Liberals and Nationals in Victoria cease to be in coalition before the election, their individual vote totals will still be added together to determine resolution of this market.