Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBest Director 97.1%Koploper van 18 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
34
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd21 jul 26, 01:21 UTC15 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?
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PolymarketOscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?
Manifold MarketsOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
PolymarketRegels
For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].
- I.e., if Anne Hathaway is nominated for lead actress, then "the named outcome" does not resolve YES.
- For all non-acting categories, all that matters is the category itself.
- (The logic is that it's not very interesting to try and figure out exactly which producers will get "nominated" for the named outcome, so I won't bother with attribution, but with acting it's interesting to break exactly who gets submitted and where).
- This may close before nominations are announced.
Open markten
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 342,8K
- 24u volume
- € 91,2K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 182,4K
- 24u volume
- € 90,8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 264,6K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 84,3K
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- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].