Which organisation will be first to successfully land a human that walks on Mars?
TechOne-OffRuimtevaart
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
SpaceX 78.6%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
SpaceX 78.6%Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd11 mei 24, 17:01 UTC1 jan 00, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
If there is a joint effort between two organisations (eg spaceX and NASA) I'll resolve to the one that paid for the trip.
- For example a spaceX rocket landing on the moon, paid for by the Artemis program, would resolve to NASA (if this market were about the moon.
- If an organisation sells tickets, it's the organisation paying for the trip and not the people/organisation buying the tickets.
- If they share the cost I'll resolve to the share of the cost the organisations pay.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/will-an-optimus-robot-walk-on-mars)
