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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
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  3. Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?

EntertainmentYearly7mnd
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99%
Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

38

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden

14 jan 26, 16:1630 jan 27, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie99%

Regels

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
  • Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
  • Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
  • If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
  • In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”

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Regels

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
  • Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
  • Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
  • If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
  • In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”