Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 100%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
50
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd14 jan 26, 16:16 UTC30 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
- Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
- If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
- In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”