Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJoe Biden 51.8%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
29
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd15 nov 25, 19:10 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to whichever of the five living presidents dies first.
- Resolution will be determined by the date of death as reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.).
- The market resolves to "Other" if none of the five specified presidents dies before the market creator closes it or if the market is otherwise abandoned.
- If a new president is inaugurated before the death of the aforementioned 5, they'll be added to the list.
- Though I wouldn't expect it, future presidents will also be added after a 6th living one.
