Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
US PoliticsPolitiek3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingClarence Thomas 9.3%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
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Verouderd1 jan 26, 05:43 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).
- The Justices, in-order of time on the court, along with their ages and the party that appointed them:
- the named outcome (76, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Republican)
- the named outcome (75, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Democrat)
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Clarence Thomas op 9% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).