Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMoonbase 51.3%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd25 mrt 26, 05:07 UTC25 mrt 36, 05:02 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill California high-speed rail use Siemens trains?
Manifold MarketsWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
KalshiWill there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition
PolymarketRegels
Moonbase: a single pressurized volume on the Moon with at least six occupants for a contiguous Earth year.
- the named outcome: At least one human must travel, successfully, from SF to LA (or the reverse).
- Tracks must be capable of at least 90mph for SF-Gilroy and Burbank-Anaheim, and at least 155 mph for the remaining pieces, with the majority of the travel distance exceeding those minimums.
- (Current plans have speeds below what would normally qualify as HSR for those sections.
- And obviously the train will slow down for intermediate stops.)
- Related: @/EvanDaniel/which-is-first-crewed-starships-to
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 514,9K
- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail??
- Manifold Markets prijst Moonbase op 51% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail? afgewikkeld?
- Which is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail? wordt naar verwachting op 25 maart 2036 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Moonbase: a single pressurized volume on the Moon with at least six occupants for a contiguous Earth year.