Which 2026 US House race will have the smallest margin of victory?
1.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingExchanges2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOther 76%+1.0ptKoploper van 15 uitkomsten
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7
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+24.3 pts
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Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
6 okt 26, 23:12 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Robinhood (Rothera)Regels
Resolves yes to the 2026 US House election with the smallest margin of victory, by raw vote total.
- If the smallest margin in a house race is 500 votes, than the race it is in resolves yes.
- More races may be added if they are considered very close.
- If a market not listed has the smallest vote margin, then other will resolve.
- For ranked choice elections, use the deciding round margin of victory.
- For elections that go to runoff, use margin in the general election on November 3.
