When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?
TechOne-Off18jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore January 2040 10.4%Koploper van 15 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
112
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd23 nov 23, 18:10 UTC1 jan 45, 19:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
See previously:
- @/Joshua/by-what-year-will-we-know-that-any
- @/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500
- This is an unlinked market, so that each time period can resolve NO independently, or they can resolve YES all together.
- It also includes meta-options about the other options.
- An answer resolves NO if it arrives without there being proof of a UFO/UAP from before market creation having a worldview-shattering origin such as aliens, time-travelers, interdimensional travelers, secret superintelligence made by ancient humans, biblical demons, etc.
