Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOct-Dec 2026 41.1%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+20.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd1 dec 25, 22:29 UTC31 dec 26, 22:26 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
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KalshiRegels
Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.
- If it's only available for a weekend, then gone again, that still counts.
- Even for just one evening.
- If the autonomy is ambiguous, that still counts.
- This question is much more lenient than some of those Austin Tesla questions.
- If the cars are COMPLETELY human-driven at first (unlikely), with humans in the drivers seats & operating the steering wheels, that won't count.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 514,9K
- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- Manifold Markets prijst Oct-Dec 2026 op 41% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Waymo launch in San Diego? afgewikkeld?
- When will Waymo launch in San Diego? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Waymo launch in San Diego? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.