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| # | Name | Price | 1h % | 24h % | 7d % | Market Cap | Volume(24h) | Circulating Supply | Last 7 Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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When will U.S. ground forces first enter Iranian territory? (April 2026)
17dManifold MarketsGeen KYCAlerts
Volg deze markt om alerts aan te maken.
Voorspellingscontext
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
April 8 - 14 2.3%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
VerouderdLaatst bijgewerkt: 12 apr, 21:17
Beslist op
30 apr 2026, 23:59
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-
Gestart 8 apr 2026, 03:52Eindigt 30 apr 2026, 23:59
Trends
Uitkomst24uKans
Regels
This market will resolve to YES for the bucket corresponding to the Washington, D.C. (Eastern Time) date that conventional or special operations ground forces of the United States first physically enter the sovereign land territory of Iran. All other options will resolve to NO.
- If no such confirmation occurs by April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to Not in April 2026.
- Sovereign Land Territory: Includes the Iranian mainland and internationally recognized Iranian islands (e.g., Kharg Island, Abu Musa, Sirri Island), as well as physically boarding and occupying Iranian-flagged offshore oil platforms within Iranian territorial waters.
- Ground Forces: Implies intentional "boots on the ground" deployments for the purpose of combat, raiding, sabotage, or occupation. This includes both conventional infantry/armor units (e.g., Marines, Army Airborne) and special operations forces (e.g., Navy SEALs, Delta Force, Army Rangers).
- Resolution will be based on official government or military announcements from the United States (e.g., Department of Defense press releases, Presidential addresses), or strong, corroborated consensus reporting from top-tier, credible international news organizations (e.g., AP, Reuters, BBC, NYT, WSJ) confirming the specific date the physical incursion began.
- Exclusions (NOT a YES):
Onderwerpen
PolitiekGeopolitiekCommodities
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