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2027-2028 34%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
8 okt 25, 18:11 UTC1 jan 36, 19:07 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Us market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a Trump economic boom?
KalshiUS economic recession in 2026?
FutuurRegels
Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the calendar date of the S&P 500’s last all‑time closing high (price index) immediately preceding the next “bubble burst,” defined as a ≥35% peak‑to‑trough decline in the S&P 500 closing level that is reached within 18 months and occurs in a window spanning from 6 months before to 12 months after the official start month of the next U.S. recession as dated by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee.
- The qualifying peak date is the resolution date.
- Data sources: NBER recession dates and announcements; S&P 500 daily close on FRED.
- Measurement details: use the S&P 500 price index daily close (no dividends), peak and trough measured on closing values, and the drawdown threshold is calculated as (trough_close − peak_close) / peak_close ≤ −35% within 18 months of the peak.
- If multiple peaks satisfy the criteria for the same recession window, resolve to the earliest qualifying peak date.
Open markten
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 566,6K
- 24u volume
- € 548,4K
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.2pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 248,7K
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the next big economic crash occur??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2027-2028 op 34% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the next big economic crash occur? afgewikkeld?
- When will the next big economic crash occur? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2036 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the next big economic crash occur? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria