Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAfter 2028 / not by close 43.8%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd6 jul 26, 17:22 UTC1 jan 29, 07:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ?
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PolymarketRegels
This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.
- "Placed in the system" means the patient is physically supported in an artificial amniotic-fluid environment with gas exchange/nutrition support through an umbilical-cord/artificial-placenta circuit, rather than conventional ventilator-only NICU care.
- This is about partial ectogenesis / neonatal support for extremely premature humans, not full pregnancy from conception.
- Resolves based on credible public evidence, such as:
- a ClinicalTrials.gov listing showing the study has begun and a participant has been enrolled/treated,
- an FDA, CHOP, Vitara Biomedical, hospital, or peer-reviewed publication confirming first human use,
Open markten
Exchange
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen??
- Manifold Markets prijst After 2028 / not by close op 44% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? afgewikkeld?
- When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.