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By end of June 2027 95.4%Koploper van 17 uitkomsten
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59
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
11 mrt 24, 08:10 UTC1 jan 27, 12:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Starship deploy a payload bigger than a Starlink?
Manifold MarketsStarlink active subscribers in Q3
KalshiSpaceX to spin off Starlink in 2026?
FutuurAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessRegels
Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
- Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
- Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch
- Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)
- Additionally, the Starlink satellite must be technically capable of functioning (i.e. starlink mass simulators or dummy starlinks wouldn't count), though whether the satellite actually functions successfully or not once in orbit is irrelevant
- Related markets:
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,3 mln.
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 802,6K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Totaal volume
- € 736,5K
- 24u volume
- € 585,6K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit??
- Manifold Markets prijst By end of June 2027 op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? afgewikkeld?
- When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit