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2026 Jul-Dec 53.8%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Vertraagd19 mrt 25, 22:06 UTC1 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Starship deploy a payload bigger than a Starlink?
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KalshiRegels
At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.
- This question will resolve when Starship successfully deploys 1+ satellites (eg, Starlink) to orbit AND this has already happened once before.
- Motive: This launch should correlate with the end of Starship testing & the start of a useful decrease in price to LEO.
- Clarifications:
- Starship doing orbital fuel transfer would not count
- The satellites must stay on their intended trajectories for at least 24 hours after deployment
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,3 mln.
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 802,6K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Totaal volume
- € 736,5K
- 24u volume
- € 585,6K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2026 Jul-Dec op 54% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? afgewikkeld?
- When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.