Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 00:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2037 62.4%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd14 nov 25, 17:37 UTC2 jan 37, 04:29 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWill Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWhen will freedom.gov go live?
Manifold MarketsClayface · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRegels
The best worst radio station.
- Multiple market answers can resolve YES, and market answers can also resolve independently over time instead of all at once.
- (This is Date Threshold mode.)
- Market resolves based on the date SexFM radio is broadcasting live again, either through sexfm.live or by some other means and confirmed by the original creator(s).
- (We're using ET timezone if it's somehow relevant.) New videos being added to the archive do not count.
- The context (26 min video): https://youtu.be/cMOUp_XpblM?si=z1SswNq-SdK7QGeh