Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingIt wont be done, or warming will be resolved by other means before it's ever done 27.7%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd8 jul 23, 03:28 UTC1 jan 68, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Solar Radiation Management is the deployment of technology to reflect more light away from the earth for the purpose of controlling global temperature.
- I'll count it as "serious" if enough materials are being deployed that they're expected to have a combined potency of negating 30% of the temperature increase from 1990 levels.
- (This is likely to be some years after the decision to deploy is made, as artificially cooling too rapidly would likely create more problems than it solves.)
- Closing date will be extended until we know.
- Consensus among climate engineers that it cannot or should not be done would be a closing condition.
