Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore Jan 2030 91.8%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jan 26, 07:34 UTC1 jan 30, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I be using a brain-computer interface in my daily life by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I begin using cryptocurrency transactions in my daily life before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I lose my current job by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
I currently have an iPhone 13.
- It mostly suits me, but the battery is weak (about 75% health; I might replace it) and sometimes I have performance issues, especially in the browser (maybe related to the battery?).
- I’m fine with Liquid Glass, I don’t see that as a detractor (and my phone is up to date).
- I don’t intend to switch any time soon, I’d rather not spend the money, but all else equal I’d like a newer phone.
- However, I might need to switch, like if my phone breaks or if Apple stops providing security updates.
- I am financially able to buy a new phone, but it’s not a trivial purchase, and an economic downturn would make me much less willing to upgrade.
