Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2035 or earlier 59.2%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
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15
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd4 apr 24, 02:27 UTC31 dec 35, 12:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will a Starship first relaunch in under 24hrs?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Manifold MarketsBy which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Manifold MarketsWill we ever see a failed Starship/Booster catch attempt on the chopsticks? (Before 2030)
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again within 24hrs of that landing
- The launches aren't required to be successful
- Answers may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain
- Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle
- UTC is used for dates
- Related markets:
