What will be the outcome of British Columbia's 2026 provincial election?
1.4 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing5d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBC Conservatives win a majority 67.5%+1.4ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
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15 okt 26, 00:06 UTC25 okt 26, 03:00 UTC
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Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia provincial election?
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The Canadian province of British Columbia is holding a snap general election for 24 October 2024.
- This question resolves based on which party won the most seats and whether their seat count is above or below the majority line.
- In the event of a tie, this question resolves to the relevant "tie" option (e.g. "NDP-Conservative tie").
- The NDP won the previous election in 2024, obtaining 47 out of 93 seats with 48% of the vote and thus forming a majority government.
- As of the time of writing this question, 338Canada is projecting a Conservative majority.
- Note that this question does not resolve to who forms government - so in the unlikely event that the next government is a coalition of two parties, neither of which have the most seats alone, this question would nonetheless resolve to the party that has the most seats at the conclusion of the election, despite their not forming government.