Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
15% to 25% 26.9%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
15% to 25% 26.9%Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd8 jan 24, 18:59 UTC1 jan 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Sodium-ion batteries appear to be in the process of commercialization, with multiple companies claiming to mass-produce them today.
- Meanwhile academics claim to have mitigated all their downsides except the lower energy density, and the cost is expected to be lower than lithium-ion.
- Not requiring lithium or cobalt in manufacturing also mitigates some geopolitical risks due to the uneven distribution of these minerals.
- "Market share" is defined as "% of new EVs sold globally powered by sodium-ion batteries".
- If multiple types of batteries are used, the EV counts as powered by sodium-ion if this battery type accounts for at least 50% of the total capacity.
- I will not bet on this market.
