What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election?
49.1 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingManifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: [20,35) (32.8%)
Afgewikkeld: 14 aug 2026, 07:50
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling[10,20) 49.1%-49.1ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
45
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-35.6 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 dagen geleden
Verouderd8 jul 26, 10:3213 aug 26, 21:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
[0,10)16.4%
[10,20)49.1%
[20,35)32.8%
[35,100]7.5%
49.1%
32.8%
16.4%
1.8%
Regels
Leader of the Recyclons and perennial by-election candidate Count Binface is running as the unity candidate to unseat some guy pulling a silly stunt.
- [image]Typically, the Count achieves 0.1-1% of the vote when he stands, but could this be his best performance yet? Is the 99p price cap on 99 flakes finally within reach??
- Square bracket denotes that the endpoint is included, normal bracket denotes that endpoint is excluded.
- Market resolves based on the actual fraction of votes, not the rounded percentage reported in the media.
- So if he wins 9.99% and the media rounds that to 10.0%, this market resolves to [0,10), not [10,20).
- I will bet in this market.
