Was Covid-19 an intentional bioweapon release?
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Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.7%
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 32 minuten geleden
30 jan 23, 19:24 UTC1 jan 00, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves to YES if I become extremely confident that Covid-19 was intentionally manufactored in a lab and intentionally released, and to NO if I become extremely confident that it wasn't.
- This won't happen based on a single article or press release or youtube video; it will only happen once there is overwhelming evidence in one direction, coming from a broad range of people who have no conflict of interest.
- (Basically, you can rest assured I'm not going to resolve this market until most traders agree I should.)
- See @/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory for the more general question of whether it came from a lab at all, including accidental leaks.
