Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
TechOne-OffCommoditiesBusiness & Corporate3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 72%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd12 jan 26, 17:41 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Vinfast EV plant in North Carolina, USA produce vehicles by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?
Manifold MarketsCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsKentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
KalshiHow low will gas prices in Florida get this year?
KalshiWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Wagerup gallium plant begins operations by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Alcoa Corporation or the joint venture partners (JAGA, US government, Australian government) confirming that the facility has produced its first gallium metal.
- The plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually once operational.
- Alcoa Corporation is developing a gallium plant at its Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with support from the US and Australian governments and a joint venture between the Japanese Government and Sojitz Corporation.
- Gallium is naturally present in bauxite, the raw material used in alumina production, and can be extracted during the refining process.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 961,1K
- 24u volume
- € 741,9K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 701,3K
- 24u volume
- € 685,8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 907,2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 72% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria