Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.9%
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
3 nov 25, 23:51 UTC20 jan 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves YES if, at any point during Donald Trump’s current presidency, the United States tests or uses a nuclear weapon.
- “Test” means any nuclear detonation — underground, atmospheric, or subcritical — officially conducted or authorized by the U.S. government for research, maintenance, or demonstration purposes.
- “Use” means the detonation of a nuclear weapon in military action or combat.
- The market resolves NO if Trump’s presidency ends without either event occurring.
- Sources: Resolution will be based on official U.S. government statements (e.g. Department of Defense (“War”), Department of Energy, or the White House) or confirmation by major media outlets such as Reuters, AP, BBC, or The New York Times.
