US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiekMidden-Oosten2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 06:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOctober 31 9%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+2.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd9 sep 26, 12:42 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket: US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket rules: On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
