US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
One-OffAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 95.1%
Nee 95.1%Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd4 jan 25, 19:09 UTC21 jan 29, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between the armed forces of the United States and Canada before January 20, 2029.
- Resolution criteria:
- Must involve official government forces (ex. uniformed military, national guard, or police acting in an official capacity, not private militias or individuals)
- Must include exchange of fire or direct combat operations
- Must result in the creation of a wikipedia page, with a table indicating at least 10 total casualties or losses and with the USA and Canada as belligerents on opposing sides, and that page must remain up for at least a week.
- (ex. this page)
