Ukraine holds elections in 2026?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingGeopolitiekRusland / Oekraïne2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94%
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 minuten geleden
29 dec 25, 20:52 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- Ukrainian law bans presidential, parliamentary, and local elections under martial law.
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine holds any national elections (presidential or parliamentary) at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no national elections are held during 2026.
- Martial law has been extended in 90-day intervals since the full-scale invasion with parliament's approval, and has most recently (as of November 2025) been extended for the 17th time until 3 February 2026.
- All political parties represented in the Verkhovna Rada signed a document in which they agreed to postpone holding any national election until after the end of martial law and agreed to work on a special law that would regulate the first post-war election, which would take place no earlier than six months after the cancellation of martial law.
