Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Trump wanted by the ICC for war crimes??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 87% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Trump wanted by the ICC for war crimes? afgewikkeld?

Trump wanted by the ICC for war crimes? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria

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1 jan 26, 16:17 UTC31 dec 27, 16:17 UTC

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Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the ICC issues an arrest warrant for Donald Trump for war crimes or crimes against humanity.
The market resolves NO if no such warrant is issued by December 31, 2026.
President putin and President Netanyahu who are big friends of Trump already have arrest warrants issued on them by the International Criminal Court for war crimes and crimes against humanity.
With Trump's ongoing strikes, particularly against Venezuela, will he join his friends as a wanted man?
Although the US is not a member of the ICC, other countries have the opportunity to file a case against him and if found guilty, an arrest warrant will be issued.