Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDecember 31 39.9%Koploper van 28 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd15 jan 26, 15:35 UTC31 dec 26, 15:32 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Insurrection Act be invoked by the US government in 2026?
FutuurTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
PolymarketWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
KalshiWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?
Manifold MarketsRegels
All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Insurrection Act invoked by...? · December 31 14%
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.6pt51.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+35.5pt47.5%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 2097%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 621,3K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 488,1K
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date??
- Manifold Markets prijst December 31 op 40% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? afgewikkeld?
- Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.
- Waar wordt Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.