Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.6%
Voorspellers
43
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jan 26, 20:51 UTC1 jan 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, etc.) or official government sources.
- The market resolves NO if Trump survives through December 31, 2026.
- Trump is currently 79 years old and will turn 80 this year.
- He is the oldest person in American history to be inaugurated as president.