This is my 47th day. I have 16 referrals to Manifold Markets. Will I have 20 by August 4, 2026 (8/4/26)?

One-Off

Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Deze markt is beslist: Yes (58.7%)

Afgewikkeld: 31 jul 2026, 13:15

Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling

CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Ja 58.7%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 13 dagen geleden

Verouderd

9 jul 26, 19:5831 jul 26, 13:15

Trends

58.7%

Nee

41.3%

Regels

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold Markets account has accumulated 20 or more total referrals by August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM PDT.
It resolves to NO if the total referral count is 19 or fewer at that deadline.
The creator will resolve this market using the referral stats page on their Manifold account.
The creator has been a Manifold user for 47 days and has successfully referred 16 users to the platform.
They need 4 more referrals to reach their target of 20 by the deadline of August 4, 2026.