Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 02:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingSBF is shown in a bean bag chair 81.5%Koploper van 17 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd9 okt 26, 00:40 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Netflix is releasing a TV show based on the rise and fall of FTX called "The Altruists".
- These are informal prop bets.
- I am fairly confident I will watch the show, and I will use my best judgement to resolve them.
- But (1) there is a chance circumstances change and I am unable to watch in which case resolution will need to be somewhat crowdsourced, and (2) prop bet markets have highly fuzzy rules and so do not trade on these options unless you are comfortable with some fuzzy resolution criteria.
- Feel free to suggest new options in the comments and if they are sufficiently easy to resolve I can add them. .
